Weekly Local weather and Power Information Roundup #412
Variety of the Week: Each day change of 100⁰C (or day by day change of 180⁰F)
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP)
Greenhouse Warming: Final week, TWTW targeted on a brand new e book by Peter Webster, Dynamic of the Tropical Environment and Oceans, reviewed by his partner Judith Curry, previously the chair of the Faculty of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences on the Georgia Institute of Expertise. There are a lot of points that we don’t perceive concerning the tropics, which render local weather modeling utilized by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change extremely questionable and the US local weather modeling efforts extremely uncertain.
Writing in No Methods Zone, Kenneth Richard brings up a brand new paper by Richard Lindzen, “An oversimplified image of the local weather conduct based mostly on a single course of can result in distorted conclusions.” A retired professor at MIT, Lindzen was final 12 months’s recipient of the Fredrick Seitz Memorial Award for distinctive braveness within the quest for data. The present work is an instance of his braveness. [Unfortunately, the paper, published in The European Physical Journal Plus, is paywalled, and TWTW relies on what was reproduced in No Tricks Zone.] Lindzen begins:
“Though it’s typically famous that greenhouse warming has lengthy been discovered within the local weather literature, it seems that this was not typically thought-about a serious reason behind local weather change till the 1980s.
“Many components, together with fluctuations of common cloud space and peak, snow cowl, ocean circulations, and many others. generally trigger adjustments to the radiative finances akin to that of doubling of CO2. For instance, the online world imply cloud radiative impact is of the order of – 20 W/m squared [minus 20 watts per meter squared] (cooling impact). A four W/m squared forcing from a doubling of CO2, due to this fact, corresponds to solely a 20% change within the web cloud impact.
“The ‘consensus’ evaluation of this method is at this time the next:
“On this complicated multifactor system, the local weather (which, itself, consists in lots of variables – particularly the temperature deference between the equator and the poles) is described by only one variable, the worldwide averaged temperature change, and is managed by the 1—2% perturbation within the vitality finances resulting from a single variable (any single variable) amongst many variables of comparable significance. We go additional and designate CO2 as the only real management Though we aren’t certain of the finances for this variable, we all know exactly what insurance policies to implement with a view to management it.
“How did such a naïve seeming image come to be accepted, not simply by the proponents of the difficulty, but additionally by most skeptics?”
Lindzen offers his views on how this took place and discusses issues therein. Within the weblog Richard highlights sure factors offered within the full paper:
“1. Doubling the atmospheric CO2 focus from 280 ppm to 560 ppm leads to only a 1-2% perturbation to the Earth’s 240 W/m² vitality finances. This doubled-CO2 impact has lower than 1/fifth of the affect that the online cloud impact has. And but we’re requested to just accept the ‘implausible’ declare that change in a single variable, CO2, is predominantly chargeable for altering world temperatures.
“2. A causal function for CO2 ‘can’t be claimed’ for the glacial-to-interglacial warming occasions as a result of CO2 variations observe slightly than lead the temperature adjustments in paleoclimate information and the 100 ppm complete enhance over 1000’s of years produce ‘about 1 W/m²’ of complete radiative affect.
“Three. Local weather science didn’t was once alarmist previous to the late 1980s. Scientists had been as a substitute sufficiently skeptical about claims of climatically-induced planetary doom. That modified throughout the years 1988-1994, when local weather analysis centered on CO2 and world warming obtained a 15-fold enhance in funding within the US alone. All of a sudden there was an incredible monetary incentive to propel alarming world warming situations.
“four. Ideas like ‘polar amplification’ are ‘imaginary’.
“‘The change in equator-to-pole temperature distinction was attributed to some imaginary ‘polar amplification,’ whereby the equator-pole temperature routinely adopted the imply temperature. Though the analogy is hardly precise, this isn’t so totally different from assuming that circulate in a pipe is dependent upon the imply strain slightly than the strain gradient.’”
Briefly, though thought-about complicated, the local weather fashions oversimplify vital components of the local weather system, making the fashions unreliable. Lindzen’s findings are much like these of Webster in final week’s TWTW: Important components of the local weather system are over-simplified, and a minor half (CO2) is over-emphasized. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy
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The Form of Water: In an open entry paper in The European Bodily Journal Plus, Geoffrey Vallis of the College of Exeter, brings up the issues of modeling water vapor and methane which have part adjustments. In response to his website, the pursuits of Vallis “are in local weather dynamics and planetary atmospheres, and my work varies between primary analysis in geophysical fluid dynamics and extra utilized modeling of assorted points of the oceans, atmospheres, or local weather, though distinguishing between these subfields can typically be fairly arbitrary.” The summary of the article “The Bother with Water: Condensation, Circulation and Local weather” states:
“This text discusses at a primary degree just a few of the issues that come up in geophysical fluid dynamics and local weather which might be related to the presence of moisture within the air, its condensation and launch of latent warmth. Our essential focus is Earth’s environment, however we additionally focus on how these issues may manifest themselves on different planetary our bodies, with specific consideration to Titan the place methane takes on the function of water. Geophysical fluid dynamics has historically been involved with understanding the very primary issues that lie on the basis of dynamical meteorology and oceanography. Conventionally, and a little bit satirically, the topic primarily considers ‘dry’ fluids, that means it doesn’t concern itself overly a lot with part adjustments. The topic is usually considered dry in one other manner as a result of it doesn’t think about issues perceived as related to the actual world, corresponding to clouds or rainfall, which have sometimes been the province of sophisticated numerical fashions. These fashions typically depend on parameterizations of unresolved processes, parameterizations that will work very properly however that usually have a semiempirical foundation. The resultant dichotomy between the foundations and the functions prevents progress being made that has each a safe foundation in scientific understanding and a relevance to the Earth’s local weather, particularly the place moisture is worried. The dichotomy additionally inhibits progress in understanding the local weather of different planets, the place observations are inadequate to tune the parameterizations that climate and local weather fashions for Earth depend on, and a extra elementary method known as for. Right here, we focus on 4 numerous examples of the issues with moisture: the dedication of relative humidity and cloudiness; the transport of water vapor and its attainable change below world warming; the moist shallow water equations and the Madden–Julian Oscillation; and the hydrology cycle on different planetary our bodies.”
The part adjustments of water require or give off appreciable warmth. Beneath a regular environment, the melting of ice, alone, requires 79.7 energy per gram (cal/gm) or 334 kJ/kg, which doesn’t embrace heating of the ice to convey it to melting temperature. The vaporization of water to water vapor (steam) requires 539 cal/gm or 2260 kJ/kg, which doesn’t embrace the warmth required to convey water to a boiling (vaporizing) level.
Besides in a laboratory, there isn’t any such factor as dry air on earth, a lot much less “dry fluids”, but local weather modelers assume their existence, then attempt to guess at what the affect of bodily air and water, together with part adjustments, could be on their fashions after they created the fashions utilizing imaginary air. It is a main cause why local weather fashions should be examined towards bodily proof, not towards related fashions. See hyperlinks below In search of a Frequent Floor.
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Warmth Publicity: The JAMA community, previously referred to as the Journal of the American Medical Affiliation produced a “peer reviewed”, extremely questionable meta-analysis claiming that warmth and air pollution current severe well being dangers significantly to black expectant moms. It seems to be one other meta-study missing rigor. Have points corresponding to smoking, alcohol consumption, drug use, pre-natal care, physique weight and BMI of the mom been eradicated? Steve Milloy writes:
“Whereas it’s true that African-Individuals as a gaggle have suffered at a proportionately better fee from COVID-19 – in addition to many different sicknesses – than different inhabitants teams, this has nothing to do with the atmosphere a lot because it does with poverty, training and the elevated fee of co-morbidities that go together with these two issues.”
The warmth concern prompts one to ask how humanity survived within the tropics, the place it developed? Additionally, the mixed air pollution and warmth concern prompts the query, how did African-Individuals survive within the American South, with out air con, and the roads had been unpaved,
dusty, till the 1960s and 70s? See hyperlinks below Well being, Power, and Local weather and Different Information that Might Be of Curiosity.
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Tree Rings, Once more? As mentioned by Paul Homewood, a overview of a brand new e book, Tree Story: the Historical past of the World Written in Rings brings up how tree rings might present solutions to questions on historical past.
“In contrast to carbon14-dating, which may solely provide a temporal vary, tree rings pinpoint the situations for a exact 12 months, even the start or finish of the season. Cross-referencing with recognized occasions has helped add a lacking local weather aspect to historical past. The disappearance, as an illustration, of the pioneering English colony at Roanoke in North Carolina had lengthy baffled historians; after three years, in 1590, a aid ship arrived to seek out everybody gone. Tree-ring evaluation has confirmed not solely the intervening years as ones of drought however as essentially the most excessive dry interval on the jap seaboard within the final eight centuries.
“Dendrochronology has additionally helped clarify such curiosities as a dip in Caribbean piracy within the 17th century (a spate of hurricanes), riots in Ptolemaic Egypt (rain failure), the Ottoman disaster of the early 17th century and the rise and fall of the Mayan, Mongolian and Uyghur empires. When, just a few years in the past, Stradivari’s well-known Messiah violin was deemed a duplicate, it was evaluation of the rings in its wooden that confirmed its authenticity.”
Sadly, the reviewer for the UK Spectator falls into the Mann entice, the hockey-stick. As Homewood writes:
“Someway what begins as a superbly smart overview morphs into Michael Mann and his discredited hockey stick!
“However, because the overview itself admits, tree rings inform you extra about rainfall than temperature, Certainly, in a a lot better overview in Newsweek, we learn how the e book reveals intimately the impact that a lengthy interval of drought had on the declining Roman Empire within the 4thC.
“In reality, Mann’s Hockey Stick was hopelessly flawed in some ways. (I might suggest Andrew Montford’s e book, ‘The Hockey Stick Phantasm’, for anybody .
“For a begin, the Hockey Stick was based mostly on shonky [questionable] statistics, which had been assured to provide a hockey stick curve whatever the knowledge fed into it. This was due to the best way Mann used Principal Part evaluation. In easy phrases, Mann’s statistics blew out of all proportion any knowledge which confirmed a hockey stick impact and ignored all different knowledge.
“Secondly, so far as tree rings had been involved, it was closely depending on bristlecone pines. It has lengthy been recognized that the marked enhance in bristlecone development within the 19th and 20thC is because of CO2 fertilization, not temperature. When bristlecones are taken out of Mann’s evaluation. the hockey stick disappears.
“Thirdly, when tree ring and different proxy knowledge diverged from rising temperature knowledge within the late 20thC, Mann ignored the proxies and spliced the temperature knowledge onto his graph.
“There are additionally an entire host of different main flaws within the Hockey Stick, not associated to tree rings. Homewood hyperlinks to works by McKitrick and McIntyre. See hyperlinks below Oh Mann!
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SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD
THE JACKSON
Since 2012, SEPP performed an annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are requested to appoint and vote for who they suppose is most deserving, following these standards:
The nominee has superior, or proposes to advance, important growth of governmental energy, regulation, or management over the general public or important sections of the final financial system.The nominee does so by declaring such measures are essential to guard public well being, welfare, or the atmosphere.The nominee declares that bodily science helps such measures.The bodily science supporting the measures is flimsy at greatest, and probably non-existent.
The eight previous recipients, Lisa Jackson (12), Barrack Obama (13), John Kerry (14), Ernest Moniz (15), Michael Mann (16), Christiana Figueres (17), Jerry Brown (18), and AOC (19) aren’t eligible. Typically, the committee that makes the choice prefers a candidate with a nationwide or worldwide presence. The voting will shut on June 30. Please ship your nominee and a quick cause why the individual is certified for the respect to Ken@SEPP.org. Thanks.
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Variety of the Week: Each day change of 100⁰C (or day by day change of 180⁰F) – the swing in day by day temperatures close to the equator of Mars.
Largely ignored within the world warming controversy is how necessary greenhouse gases are in preserving the land lots of Earth inhabitable. But in 1861, greenhouse gasoline pioneer John Tyndall understood the vital function the key greenhouse gasoline, water vapor, performs in preserving land lots heat sufficient for all times on Earth. (See Quote of the Week) This information has been misplaced within the noise of worldwide warming fears because the 1980s.
Thus, it’s helpful to acknowledge the soundness greenhouse gases give to Earth by evaluating the temperature swings close to the equator of the Earth with a close-by planet that has restricted greenhouse gases, Mars. Mars has a day by day rotation of 24.6 hours, much like that of Earth. The first gasoline within the environment is carbon dioxide, 95% and it has little or no water vapor, whereas the environment of Earth is Zero.04% carbon dioxide with about 1.5% water vapor (starting from about 1% to four%)
Since 1997, there have been four US rovers on Mars. The primary one lasted just a few months, the second landed in January 2004 and operated till March 2010, the third one additionally landed in January 2004, and operated till June 2018, the fourth one landed in August 2012 and continues to function.
Primarily based on measurements, close to the equator of Mars, the day by day temperature fluctuation is about 100⁰C (180⁰F), from a excessive of about 21⁰C (70⁰F) at noon to minus 79⁰C (minus 110⁰F) the identical night time. [During polar winters, not on the equator, surface frost can form at night, giving evidence of limited water vapor.]
Utilizing Wikipedia, TWTW reviewed the reported temperatures of areas, close to the equator, close to the facilities of land lots of Africa and South America. The outcomes are:
Kisangani, Democratic Republic of Congo, from BBC Climate Centre (No time interval given)
Zero levels, 31 minutes North
Elevation 447 m (1467 ft)
Inhabitants 1,602,144 (2015)
March common excessive 31⁰C (88⁰F) common low 21⁰C (70⁰F) Imply month-to-month hours Sunshine: 187
June – common excessive 30⁰C (84⁰F) common low 21⁰C (70⁰F) Imply month-to-month hours Sunshine: 150
September– common excessive 29⁰C (84⁰F) common low 20⁰C (68⁰F) Sunshine hours: 186
December– common excessive 30⁰C (84⁰F) common low 20⁰C (68⁰F) Sunshine hours: 155
Heaviest rain interval September to November with October 218mm (Eight.6 Inches)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kisangani
and
Boa Vista, Brazil from Brazilian Nationwide Institute of Meteorology (1981-2010 regular)
2 levels 49 min N
Inhabitants 375,374
Elevation 90 m (300 ft)
March common excessive 34.2⁰C (93.6) common low 24.3⁰C (75.7⁰F) Sunshine hours: 142
June – Common excessive 31.2⁰C (88.2) common low 23.1⁰C (73.6⁰F) Sunshine hours: 93.5
September– common excessive 34.2⁰C (93.6) common low 24.2⁰C (75.6⁰F) Sunshine hours: 200.7
December– common excessive 33.8⁰C (92.Eight) common low 24.3⁰C (75.7⁰F) Sunshine hours: 173.5
Heavy rain within the Might to August, 321.Three mm (12.65 in) in June
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boa_Vista,_Roraima
CONCLUSION: In comparison with Mars, with little environment and the first gasoline being CO2, the soundness (lack of variation) of day by day temperatures on Earth is outstanding. As Tyndall implied, with out the greenhouse impact, the nighttime temperatures on Earth’s land lots could be properly under freezing, stopping development of vegetation. But the UN IPCC and others declare a small enhance within the greenhouse impact, occurring at night time, shall be harmful to human well being?
See hyperlinks:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_rover
https://mars.nasa.gov/mer/highlight/20070612.html
https://www.house.com/16907-what-is-the-temperature-of-mars.html#:~:textual content=A%20summer time%20day%20on%20Mars,F%20(minus%2073%20C).
Censorship
Twitter Censorship Replace
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, June 17, 2020
https://realclimatescience.com/2020/06/twitter-censorship-update-2/
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Full.pdf
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
Obtain with no cost:
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Local weather-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Quantity-with-covers.pdf
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Might 20, 2019
https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/publications/SeaLevelRiseCCRII.pdf
Difficult the Orthodoxy
MIT’s Dr. Lindzen Pokes Enjoyable At The ‘Naïve’, Effectively-Funded ‘Scientific Reasoning’ That 1 Issue – CO2 – Controls Local weather
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, June 15, 2020
Hyperlink to paper: An oversimplified image of the local weather conduct based mostly on a single course of can result in distorted conclusions
By Richard S. Lindzen, The European Bodily Journal Plus, June Three, 2020
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjp/s13360-Zero20-00471-z
Local weather Statistics 101: see the Slide Present AOC Tried, and Failed, to Censor
Video, By Caleb Rossiter, CO2 Coalition, By way of WUWT, June 18, 2020
Local weather Issues: A Local weather of Concern about Local weather Conversations (w/Michelle Stirling)
45 minute video, June 18, 2020
In search of if the science is settled.
[SEPP Comment: Interrupted by ads. Ms. Stirling discusses Risky Business built on the most extreme scenario by the IPCC.]
Defending the Orthodoxy
World has six months to avert local weather disaster, says vitality skilled
Worldwide Power Company chief warns of want to stop post-lockdown surge in emissions
By Fiona Harvey, The Guardian, June 18, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.theguardian.com/atmosphere/2020/jun/18/world-has-six-months-to-avert-climate-crisis-says-energy-expert
Hyperlink to report: Shaping a safe and sustainable vitality future for all.
By Workers, EIA, 2020
https://www.iea.org/
“In a report revealed on Thursday, the IEA – the world’s gold commonplace for vitality evaluation – set out the primary world blueprint for a inexperienced restoration, specializing in reforms to vitality technology and consumption. Wind and solar energy needs to be a high focus, the report suggested, alongside vitality effectivity enhancements to buildings and industries, and the modernisation of electrical energy grids.”
[SEPP Comment: The “world’s gold standard for energy analysis” may be selling fool’s gold.]
UN: Covid-19, Local weather Change and Racial Justice are all Linked
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 15, 2020
Covid-19 pandemic is ‘fireplace drill’ for results of local weather disaster, says UN official
Lise Kingo says social equality points should be a part of sustainable improvement agenda
By Fiona Harvey, The Guardian, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.theguardian.com/atmosphere/2020/jun/15/covid-19-pandemic-is-fire-drill-for-effects-of-climate-crisis-says-un-official
Hyperlink to UN World Compact Leaders Summit, June 15 & 16
https://www.unglobalcompact.org/
A Conflict Towards Local weather Science, Waged by Washington’s Rank and File
By Lisa Friedman, NYT, June 15, 2020
“A working example: When John Crusius, a analysis chemist at the US Geological Survey, revealed an instructional paper on pure options to local weather change in April, his authorities affiliation by no means appeared on it. It couldn’t.”
[SEPP Comment: Insisting the place of employment of the author not appear on a paper is equivalent to censoring it? Perhaps there has been too much non-science from NASA-GISS and NOAA contradicted by physical evidence.]
Restrictions on science not restricted to Trump administration’s highest ranks: report
By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, June 15, 2020
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/502766-restrictions-on-science-not-limited-to-trump-administrations
See hyperlink instantly above. [SEPP Comment: Is each complaining employee saying his / hers work is pure science? Far too much EPA work is political science, not related to physical evidence.]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
The Local weather Marketing campaign Is Much less And Much less About The Local weather
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 18, 2020
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2020-6-18-biyb4kqu2wfj71beidexgg8exbk437
[SEPP Comment: Does a US District Judge in Montana have jurisdiction in Virginia?]
The Inexperienced Civil Conflict
By Joel Kotkin, Actual Clear Power, June 18, 2020
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/06/18/the_green_civil_war_496728.html
[SEPP Remark: Partly reviewing Michael Shellenberger’s new e book, “Apocalypse By no means.”
Congrats! US, Sweden, Australia have extra local weather “deniers” than wherever
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, June 17, 2020
http://joannenova.com.au/2020/06/congrats-us-sweden-australia-have-more-climate-deniers-than-anywhere/
Wealth: It’s a tough idea
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
“Politicians being famously good at saying one factor, doing one other and considering a 3rd, the EU response to the wealth-destroying affect of local weather insurance policies has been to fudge, as an illustration exempting the aviation from robust guidelines within the hopes of reviving tourism.”
Deep Studying’s Local weather Change Drawback
By Rob Toews, Forbes, June 17, 2020 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.forbes.com/websites/robtoews/2020/06/17/deep-learnings-climate-change-problem/#55d9b2256b43
“The underside line: AI has a significant carbon footprint at this time, and if tendencies proceed it is going to quickly turn out to be a lot worse. Except we’re prepared to reassess and reform at this time’s AI analysis agenda, the sector of synthetic intelligence might turn out to be an antagonist within the battle towards local weather change within the years forward.”
[SEPP Comment: Unreliable power is of no help. With a power outage, what is being processed disappears.]
After Paris!
Regardless of pandemic China will increase coal manufacturing, has 5,000 coal mines, and a glut of recent crops
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, June 19, 2020
http://joannenova.com.au/2020/06/despite-pandemic-china-increases-coal-production-has-5000-coal-mines-and-a-glut-of-new-plants/
China’s New Coal Push As Relations With West Bitter
By Workers, Bloomberg, By way of GWPF, June 16, 2020
India Unleashing Coal: PM Modi Pronounces New Coal Increase, Privatisation Of Coal Mines
By Workers, IANS Information Service, By way of GWPF, June 18, 2020
India Unleashing Coal: PM Modi Announces New Coal Boom, Privatisation Of Coal Mines
Change in US Administrations
Towards Critical Reform of Profit/Price Evaluation Beneath the Clear Air Act
By Benjamin Zycher, Actual Clear Markets, June 17, 2020
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2020/06/17/toward_serious_reform_of_benefitcost_analysis_under_the_clean_air_act_496436.html
Trump administration sued over marine monument rollback
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 17, 2020
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/503142-trump-administration-sued-over-marine-monument-rollback
“President Trump issued a proclamation this month that might reopen the Northeast Canyons and Seamounts Marine Nationwide Monument, 130 miles off the coast of Massachusetts, for business fishing.”
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Disclosure of climate-related monetary dangers not sufficient to drive motion
Information Launch, by Griffith College, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2020-06-disclosure-climate-related-financial-action.html
Hyperlink to paper: Local weather-related monetary disclosures within the public sector
By Edwards, Yapp, Mackay & Mackey, Nature Local weather Change, Might 25, 2020
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-Zero20-0785-1
In search of a Frequent Floor
Mass spectrometry and local weather science. Half I: Figuring out previous climates
By Roland Hirsch, Local weather And so forth. June 16, 2020
Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part I: Determining past climates
Some Random Quantum Ideas
Visitor put up by Rud Istvan, WUWT, June 19, 2020
The Bother with Water: Condensation, Circulation and Local weather
By Geoffrey Ok. Vallis, The European Bodily Journal Plus, June Eight, 2020
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjp/s13360-Zero20-00493-7
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Sky Information: Aussie Royal Fee to Examine how Local weather Activists “Hijacked” Forestry Administration
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 19, 2020
[SEPP Comment: Highlights the difference between studying the physical world as compared with studying the modeled world!]
Evaluate of Latest Scientific Articles by CO2 Science
Lengthy-term Carbon Accumulation Charges of Two Alaska Peatlands
Taylor, L.S., Swindles, G.T., Morris, P.J., Galka, M. and Inexperienced, S.M. 2019. Proof for ecosystem state shifts in Alaskan steady permafrost peatlands in response to latest warming. Quaternary Science Evaluations 207: 134-144. June 19, 2020
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/jun/a9.php
“The tremendously enhanced sequestration of carbon by the peatlands in fashionable occasions was attributed by the authors to the latest warming noticed because the finish of the Little Ice Age, main them to conclude ‘our work demonstrates that some Arctic peatlands might turn out to be extra productive with future regional warming, subsequently rising their capability to sequester carbon,’ including that ‘because the Arctic continues to heat, peatlands within the steady permafrost zone might turn out to be an more and more necessary carbon sink.’ And this latter conclusion is a far cry from the mannequin projections cited by the authors of the Arctic turning into a web carbon supply by the mid-2020s!”
A 423-year Moisture Reconstruction for San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Villanueva-Díaz, J., Stahle, D.W., Therrell, M.D., Beramendi-Orosco, L., Estrada-Ávalos, J., Martínez-Sifuentes, A.R., Astudillo-Sánchez, C.C., Cervantes-Martínez, R. and Cerano-Paredes, J. 2020. The climatic response of baldcypress (Taxodium mucronatum Ten.) in San Luis Potosi, Mexico. Bushes 34: 623-635. June 17, 2020
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/jun/a8.php
“The noticed cyclic nature of the reconstruction, coupled with what seems to be an absence of any pattern within the knowledge, means that rising concentrations of atmospheric CO2 have had no measurable affect on droughts or pluvials within the area of San Luis Potosi over the previous 423 years. And that implies no vindication for the fashions’ projections on moisture. Moderately, it factors towards their invalidation on this regard!”
No Response of a Poisonous Algae to Ocean Acidification and Warming
Li, P.F., Yang, G.P., Liu, C.Y. 2020. Mixed results of elevated temperature and pCO2 on the manufacturing of DMSP and DMS within the tradition of Amphidinium carterae. Journal of Utilized Phycology doi.org/10.1007/s10811-Zero20-02058-Eight. June 15, 2020
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/jun/a7.php
“The above findings symbolize excellent news given the poisonous nature of this species and its capability to trigger pink tides. However you in all probability gained’t discover any acidification alarmists publicizing or rejoicing at it!”
Mannequin Points
We caught micro organism from essentially the most pristine air on earth to assist remedy a local weather modeling thriller
By Kathryn Moore, Jun Uetake and Thomas Hill, The Dialog, By way of Phys.org. June 19, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2020-06-caught-bacteria-pristine-air-earth.html
“However resulting from how distant the Southern Ocean is, there have been only a few precise research of the clouds there. Due to this lack of knowledge, pc fashions that simulate current and future climates overpredict how a lot daylight reaches the ocean floor in comparison with what satellites truly observe. The primary cause for this inaccuracy is because of how the fashions simulate clouds, however no person knew precisely why the clouds had been off. For the fashions to run accurately, researchers wanted to know how the clouds had been being fashioned.”
Mannequin Failures: Inflated Pandemic Estimates Weaken Local weather Forecasts
By Adam Creighton, The Australian, By way of GWPF, June 17, 2020
Model Failures: Inflated Pandemic Estimates Weaken Climate Forecasts
“It’s outstanding we put a lot religion in skilled fashions, given their historical past of failure.”
Video: How basic math may help predict the melting of sea ice
By Charles Rotter, The Dialog, By way of WUWT, June 16, 2020
Measurement Points — Floor
Watch out for Loopy Snowpack Percentages!
By Cliff Mass Climate Weblog, June 18, 2020
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/06/beware-of-crazy-snow-totals-percentages.html
This Date In 1917 – 128 Levels At Ojai, California
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, June 16, 2020
https://realclimatescience.com/2020/06/this-date-in-1917-128-degrees-at-ojai-california/
1919 or 2019? Kingston Version
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
Altering Climate
What has triggered extra excessive summer time warmth occasions over northeast Asia?
Information Launch by Chinese language Academy of Sciences, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2020-06-extreme-summer-events-northeast-asia.html
Hyperlink to paper: Attribution of the record-breaking warmth occasion over Northeast Asia in summer time 2018: the function of circulation
By Ren, Zhou, and Zhang, Environmental Analysis Letters, Might 12, 2020
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8032
Large Saharan mud plume headed for the Gulf of Mexico, Florida
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 18, 2020
Are Weekends Wetter than Weekdays?
By Cliff Mass Climate Weblog, June 13, 2020
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/06/are-weekends-wetter-than-weekdays.html
Altering Seas
Mangroves liable to collapse if emissions not decreased by 2050, worldwide scientists predict
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, June 17, 2020
Hyperlink to paper:Thresholds of mangrove survival below speedy sea degree rise
By N. Saintilan, et al. Science, June 5, 2020
https://science.sciencemag.org/content material/368/6495/1118#:~:textual content=Mangroves%20below%20sea%20degree%20rise&textual content=Their%20evaluation%20suggests%20an%20higher,hold%20up%20with%20the%20change.
From the write-up: “They reviewed knowledge on mangrove accretion 10,000 to 7000 years earlier than current, when the speed of sea degree rise was even larger than at this time because of glacial ice soften. Their evaluation suggests an higher threshold of seven millimeters per 12 months as the utmost fee of sea degree rise related to mangrove vertical improvement, past which the ecosystem fails to maintain up with the change.”
[SEPP Comment: What about the period 16,000 to 9,000 years ago, when sea level rise was far more rapid?]
What if NASA’s new ocean satellite tv for pc finds sea degree rise isn’t the issue it’s touted to be?
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 16, 2020
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
My polar bear podcast interview with Anthony Watts from WUWT
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 19, 2020
No early breakup for W Hudson Bay sea ice once more this 12 months: polar bears nonetheless on the ice
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 14, 2020
Alaska World Warming Replace
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, June 19, 2020
https://realclimatescience.com/2020/06/alaska-global-warming-update/
Greenland’s Summer season Soften Late Beginning
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 19, 2020
A attainable rationalization for why West Antarctica is warming sooner than East Antarctica
By Bob Yirka , Phys.org, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2020-06-explanation-west-antarctica-faster-east.html
Hyperlink to paper: The inner origin of the west-east asymmetry of Antarctic local weather change
By Sang-Yoon Jun, June 12, 2020
https://advances.sciencemag.org/content material/6/24/eaaz1490
[SEPP Comment: Discusses feedbacks but not the possible cause of the warming such as geothermal activity in the West Antarctic under the ice.]
Pure Local weather Change in Antarctica Is No Information!
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, June 18, 2020
Altering Earth
Coal-burning in Siberia after volcanic eruption led to local weather change 250 million years in the past
Information Launch, Arizona State College, June 16, 2020 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/06/200616135818.htm
Hyperlink to paper: Discipline proof for coal combustion hyperlinks the 252 Ma Siberian Traps with world carbon disruption
By.T. Elkins-Tanton, et al, Geology, June 12, 2020
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/doi/10.1130/G47365.1/587319/Discipline-evidence-for-coal-combustion-links-the-252
From the information launch: “Calculations of sea water temperature point out that on the peak of the extinction, the Earth underwent lethally sizzling world warming, by which equatorial ocean temperatures exceeded 104 levels Fahrenheit. It took thousands and thousands of years for ecosystems to be re-established and for species to get well.”
[SEPP Comment: No relationship between CO2 concentrations and ocean temperatures presented! Speculation!]
Acidic Waters
Arctic Ocean acidification worse than beforehand anticipated
Information Launch, College of Bern, June 17, 2020 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-06/uob-aoa061720.php
Hyperlink to paper: Emergent constraint on Arctic Ocean acidification within the twenty-first century
By Jens Terhaar, Nature, June 17, 2020
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-Zero20-2360-Three
[SEPP Comment: Exaggeration greater than previously exaggerated? Use extreme language to claim extreme results from using extreme models of CO2 emissions – modern climate science?]
A carbon sink shrinks within the arctic
UD researchers present Canada Basin’s diminished capability to soak up carbon dioxide
Information Launch, College of Delaware, June 15, 2020
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-06/uod-acs061520.php
[SEPP Comment: So Arctic waters are not absorbing as much CO2 and lowering pH as what was once feared?]
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Might entomophagy finish U.S. and African protein shortages?
By Paul Driessen, WUWT, June 16, 2020
Is There Bias In How We Decide GMOs?
By Chuck Dinerstein, ACSH, June 10, 2020
https://www.acsh.org/information/2020/06/10/there-bias-how-we-judge-gmos-14839
Reducing Requirements
UK is not a ‘moist and wet’ nation, head of Setting Company says
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 19, 2020
UK is no longer a ‘wet and rainy’ country, head of Environment Agency says
IEA: ‘Inexperienced’ coronavirus restoration would hold world emissions under 2019 peak
By Josh Gabbatiss, Carbon Temporary, June 18, 2020
https://www.carbonbrief.org/iea-green-coronavirus-recovery-would-keep-global-emissions-below-2019-peak?utm_campaign=RevueCBWeeklyBriefing&utm_medium=electronic mail&utm_source=Revue%20publication
[SEPP Comment: The EIA and the World Bank display that their analyses cannot be accepted at face value.]
Rock across the thermometer
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
“In ‘Local weather Fwd,’ the megawoke publication of the New York Instances, Kendra Pierre-Louis discusses rising references to local weather change in American fashionable music. Which is the kind of factor that tends to present the social sciences a nasty title.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
We’re all going to die
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
“‘Collapse of Civilisation is the Most Probably End result’: High Local weather Scientists”.
“It’s as a result of ‘respected’ journalistic sources settle for this ‘delicate stability’ declare that they can not see via, and as a substitute endorse, all these hysterical claims that one misstep and it’s throughout, the factor is smashed, we’ve tipped over the tipping factors and we… are… all… going… to… die.”
Wonderful Noctilucent Clouds
By Cliff Mass Climate Weblog, June 20, 2020
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/06/amazing-noctilucent-clouds.html
[SEPP Comment; Strongly question the graph showing hockey-stick style increases in atmospheric methane since the year 1000! How was atmospheric methane measured for the past 1000 years?]
Declare: Surgical Basic Anaesthetic is Contributing to Local weather Change
By Eric Worrall, June 17, 2020
Hyperlink to paper: ‘Inexperienced-gional’ anesthesia: the non-polluting advantages of regional anesthesia to lower greenhouse gases and attenuate local weather change
By Mausam Kuvadia, et al, BMJ Journals, Might 6, 2020
https://rapm.bmj.com/content material/early/2020/05/06/rapm-2020-101452
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
Declare: Folks Imagine in World Warming, However Select To not Act
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 20, 2020
The variety of local weather deniers in Australia is greater than double the worldwide common, new survey finds
By Caroline Fisher and Sora Park, The Dialog, By way of Phys.Org, June 16, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2020-06-climate-deniers-australia-global-average.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Kids for Propaganda
The Swedish Teenager Interfering in Canadian Politics
Democracy dies when activists wield extra affect than voters.
By Donna Laframboise, Large Image Information, June 15, 2020
Questioning European Inexperienced
The European Inexperienced Deal is a Unhealthy Deal
By Marcus Holtkoetter: Altenberge, Germany, AG Net, June 14, 2020 [H/t WUWT]
https://www.agweb.com/weblog/european-green-deal-bad-deal
No Wind, No Solar–However Loads Of Gasoline & Nuclear!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 19, 2020
No Wind, No Sun–But Plenty Of Gas & Nuclear!
“And what can we get for £10bn price of renewable subsidies?
“A load of capability which frequently is subsequent to ineffective, and a grid which nonetheless depends on gasoline and nuclear for 82% of demand, and an additional 9% from biomass which might have been obtained at half the value from burning coal as a substitute!”
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Change How You Reside
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, June 19, 2020
Time to Abandon Progressive Democrats’ Local weather Change Want Lists
By Frank Lasee, Inside Sources, June 18, 2020
Time to Abandon Progressive Democrats’ Climate Change Wish Lists
Inexperienced Jobs
Clear vitality sheds 27,000 jobs in Might
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 16, 2020
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/503022-clean-energy-industry-sheds-27000-jobs-in-may
“Power effectivity, the biggest clear vitality sector, additionally misplaced a better variety of jobs than different components of the vitality sector, dropping 18,900 jobs. Almost y four,300 jobs in renewable electrical energy technology had been additionally misplaced.”
[SEPP Comment: According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the total US job loss in May was about 8 million! See link immediately below.]]
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
The U.S. Has Already Misplaced Extra Than 100,000 Oil And Gasoline Jobs
By Workers, Rystad Power, By way of Oil worth.com June 14, 2020
https://oilprice.com/Power/Power-Basic/The-US-Has-Already-Misplaced-Extra-Than-100000-Oil-And-Gasoline-Jobs.html
Funding Points
ROSS CLARK: From Ethiopian woman band to Kenyans listening to toads… how employees at Dfid spent YOUR thousands and thousands
Boris Johnson made the decision to abolish the standalone Division for Worldwide Growth (Dfid)
Hundreds of thousands of taxpayers’ cash has been going abroad to questionable sources
The Ethiopian ‘Spice Ladies’, palm oil plantations and Nigeria’s photo voltaic have all benefitted from funds
By Ross Clark, Each day Mail, June 16, 2020 [H/t GWPF]
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/information/article-8429125/From-Ethiopian-girl-band-Kenyans-listening-toads-staff-Dfid-spent-millions.html
Belief us, it’s in your personal good
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
Democrats unveil $1.5 trillion infrastructure plan
By Rebecca Bitsch, The Hill, June 18, 2020
https://thehill.com/homenews/home/503427-democrats-unveil-15-trillion-infrastructure-plan
Litigation Points
Supreme Court docket ruling seen as boon to pure gasoline pipelines
By Amy Tougher, Axios, June 16, 2020
https://www.axios.com/supreme-court-ruling-natural-gas-pipelines-7c6c0d77-af75-485f-8ad9-ecbf1e5a5b7b.html
“Justice Clarence Thomas, writing for almost all, mentioned below the decrease court docket ruling that Monday’s resolution overturned, any pipeline crossing at related “footpaths” managed by the Park Service would want an act of Congress for approval.
“21 such footpaths exist throughout the nation comprising a minimum of tens of 1000’s of miles, per Thomas’ opinion, based on Gary Kruse, managing director of analysis at LawIQ, an vitality regulatory analytics and advisory agency.”
[SEPP Comment: Not to mention the hundreds of roads, transmission lines, and even the Erie Canal!]
Supreme Court docket Resolution Large Win for Power—and America
Ben Lieberman. CEI, June 15, 2020
https://cei.org/weblog/supreme-court-decision-big-win-energypercentE2%80%94and-america
A Few Extra Ideas On The Very Silly Oil-As-Nuisance Litigations
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 13, 2020
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2020-6-13-a-few-more-thoughts-on-the-very-stupid-oil-as-nuisance-litigations
[SEPP Comment: Explaining the legal tactics the litigation lawyers use to bring nuisance litigation against oil companies. And the lawyers call the companies greedy?]
Montana choose upholds ruling that canceled Keystone XL pipeline allow
By Timothy Gardner, Reuters, Might 11, 2020
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-pipelines-court/montana-judge-upholds-ruling-that-canceled-keystone-xl-pipeline-permit-idUSKBN22O07T
[SEPP Comment: The judge in question is the Chief United States District Judge of the United States District Court for the District of Montana.]
Subsidies and Mandates Eternally
Dummies Information To Renewable Subsidies
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 13, 2020
Dummies Guide To Renewable Subsidies
[SEPP Comment: How subsidies are paid.]
Dummies Information To Renewable Subsidies–Half II
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 16, 2020
Dummies Guide To Renewable Subsidies–Part II
[SEPP Comment; How much the subsidies cost the public.]
EPA and different Regulators on the March
Standards Pollutant Emissions and Precursors Decline 7 P.c Beneath Trump
By Marlo Lewis, CEI, June 12, 2020
https://cei.org/weblog/criteria-pollutant-emissions-and-precursors-decline-7-percent-under-trump
EPA faces go well with over plan to launch genetically engineered mosquitoes
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 15, 2020
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/502827-epa-faces-suit-over-plan-for-releasing-genetically-engineered
A number of teams, together with the Middle for Meals Security, the Worldwide Middle for Expertise Evaluation and Buddies of the Earth filed a discover of intent to sue on Friday.
[SEPP Comment: Center for Food Safety wants mosquitoes?]
Power Points – Non-US
In-depth: BP knowledge reveals clear electrical energy matched coal for the primary time in 2019
By Simon Evans, Carbon Temporary, June 18, 2020
https://www.carbonbrief.org/in-depth-bp-data-reveals-clean-electricity-matched-coal-for-the-first-time-in-2019?utm_campaign=RevueCBWeeklyBriefing&utm_medium=electronic mail&utm_source=Revue%20publication
[SEPP Comment: Mixing apples with oranges. As explained in the May 23 TWTW, the EIA cautions against comparing dispatchable generation with non-dispatchable. Only in a fantasy world do wind and solar work 24/7.]
German Energy Costs Climb 116% Since 12 months 2000 …Authorities Levies, Taxes Tripled!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, June 14, 2020
Power Points – Australia
It Doesn’t Must be This Approach: Australia’s Power Disaster, America’s Power Surplus
By Alex Robson, The USA Research Centre, College of Sydney, 2020
file:///C:/Customers/Proprietor/Downloads/It-doesnt-have-to-be-this-way-Australias-energy-crisis-Americas-energy-surplus.pdf
SA: Nonetheless liable to blackout, one third of photo voltaic PV “switching off” to save lots of state, wants $1.5b interconnector bandaid to NSW
Why accomplish that few see the large subsidy value of preserving the South Australian electrical energy experiment alive?
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, June 19, 2020
http://joannenova.com.au/2020/06/sa-still-at-risk-of-blackout-one-third-of-solar-pv-switching-off-to-save-state-needs-1-5b-interconnector-bandaid-to-nsw/
“That’s a $1,500,000,000 restore invoice for an unreliable system that break the bank to construct, however is unsustainable and not using a large bandaid.”
Power Points — US
Virginia’s newest folly — offshore wind energy
By David Wojick, CFACT, June 18, 2020
https://www.cfact.org/2020/06/18/virginias-latest-folly-offshore-wind-power/
Colorado Utility Will Shut Coal Plant 16 Years Early
By Darrell Proctor, Energy Magazine, June 16, 2020
CLIMATE CHANGED: Oregon bids goodbye to coal energy
By Nick Rosenberger EO Media Group/Catalyst Journalism Challenge, June 13, 2020 [H/t Ken Schlichte]
https://www.eastoregonian.com/townnews/economics/climate-changed-oregon-bids-goodbye-to-coal-power/article_edbade08-ab88-11ea-99c6-832b254db428.html
Nuclear Power and Fears
Rolls-Royce triggers £250bn nuclear race: Large increase for financial system if UK consortium will get go-ahead to construct fleet of mini reactor crops
By Neil Craven, Monetary Mail, June 13, 2020
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/cash/information/article-8417289/Rolls-Royce-triggers-250bn-nuclear-mini-reactor-race.html
OPG Turns into First Utility to Snag Possession Stake in Nuclear Microreactor Challenge
By Sonal Patel, Energy Magazine, June 16, 2020
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
PM Modi’s mega worldwide grid plan a key pillar of poverty alleviation, vitality entry agenda: Amitabh Kant
“It is a path-breaking undertaking and has an enormous imaginative and prescient. Photo voltaic vitality is the long run, grid administration shall be vital. That is the way forward for vitality within the coming period,” Kant mentioned talking on the ETEnergyworld Digital Roundtable on Photo voltaic Power Storage & Inter-Continental Grids
By Workers, Power Instances, June 20, 2020
https://vitality.economictimes.indiatimes.com/information/renewable/pm-modis-mega-international-grid-plan-a-key-pillar-of-poverty-alleviation-energy-access-agenda-amitabh-kant/76476195
“In part I, the center east, South Asia and South East Asia shall be inter-connected. Within the second part, photo voltaic and different renewable vitality resource-rich areas shall be inter-connected. Within the second part, photo voltaic and different renewable vitality resource-rich areas shall be inter-connected.”
“’For instance, the North Sea is wealthy in wind and the Sahara is wealthy in photo voltaic. And within the third part, we might vie for the worldwide interconnection of the facility transmission grid to attain the One Solar One World One Grid imaginative and prescient,’ he mentioned.”
Examine: A whole bunch of ‘protected areas’ threatened by renewable vitality
Inexperienced agenda will create ‘rising strain’ on wilderness areas
By Workers, WND, June 14, 2020
Hyperlink to check: Renewable vitality improvement threatens many globally necessary biodiversity areas
By José Andrés Rehbein, World Change Biology, March 2020
https://www.researchgate.web/publication/339715092_Renewable_energy_development_threatens_many_globally_important_biodiversity_areas
In Iowa, conservative group seems to be to counter native wind, photo voltaic opposition
By Karen Uhlenhuth, Power Information, June 17, 2020
“‘We’re defending non-public property rights,’ mentioned Nick Boeyink, Land & Liberty’s Iowa discipline operations director. ‘There are many landowners that, with unhealthy coverage, wouldn’t have the liberty to obtain revenue on their land. They need to be allowed to do with that land what they please.’”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
Inexperienced Haste Will Trash The Promise Of Hydrogen
Press Launch, The World Warming Coverage Basis, June 19, 2020
Hyperlink to report: Hydrogen: The As soon as And Future Gas
By John Constable, GWPF, 2020
https://www.thegwpf.org/content material/uploads/2020/06/Hydrogen-Gas.pdf
Name For UK Hydrogen Technique
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 18, 2020
“There’s going to be an extended queue forming for all of those billions of public funds promised to turbocharge development. Yesterday it was the flip of the Hydrogen Technique Now group to push their approach to the entrance of the road:”
Hydrogen Might Be a Lifeline for Nuclear—However It Received’t Be Straightforward
By Sonal Patel, Energy Magazine, June 11, 2020
Germany’s Local weather Pleasant Hydrogen Technique
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 22, 2020
[SEPP Comment: Estimates the energy loss of this scheme to be about 60%.]
Germany plans to spend billions funding inexperienced hydrogen
By Maz Plechinger, Power Watch, EU, June 10, 2020 [H/t WUWT]
https://energywatch.eu/EnergyNews/Policy___Trading/article12209986.ece
Britain’s Soiled Secret Of Subsidised Wooden-Fired Energy Vegetation
By Workers, The Instances, By way of GWPF, June 15, 2020
Folly: Germany Plans To Convert Coal Energy Plant To Burn 100-12 months Previous Bushes In Minutes!
By Die kalte Sonne, (Translated/edited by P. Gosselin), No Methods Zone, June 16, 2020
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
Local weather emission killer: development begins on world’s greatest liquid air battery
Unique: undertaking will retailer renewable vitality and cut back climate-heating emissions
By Damian Carrington, The Guardian, June 18, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.theguardian.com/atmosphere/2020/jun/18/worlds-biggest-liquid-air-battery-starts-construction-in-uk
“The Highview battery will retailer 250MWh of vitality, virtually double the quantity saved by the most important chemical battery, constructed by Tesla in South Australia.
“The undertaking will value £85m, and Highview obtained £35m of funding from the Japanese equipment large Sumitomo in February.”
[SEPP Comment: Peanuts compared to Bath County pumped hydro with 24,000 Megawatt hours (MWh) but it needs reliable nuclear and coal fired plants to recharge.]
Guardian’s Power Storage Delusion
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 18, 2020
“As I revealed final October, this new Highview plant will retailer solely 250 MWh. This, as anybody with the slightest data of the facility system will inform you, is a pitifully small quantity. On a standard day, demand is near 1 million MWh, so that you would want 4000 Highviews to cowl that if we didn’t have correct backup capability for when renewables weren’t producing.”
See hyperlink instantly above.
Plunging Renewable Power Costs Imply U.S. Can Hit 90% Clear Electrical energy By 2035 – At No Further Price
By Silvio Marcacci, Forbes, June 9, 2020
https://www.forbes.com/websites/energyinnovation/2020/06/09/plunging-renewable-energy-prices-mean-us-can-hit-90-clean-electricity-by-2035at-no-extra-cost/#63d0eb2c2f9b
[SEPP Comment: Repeating the fiction by the Goldman School of Public Policy. The demonstration on El Hierro using wind with pumped hydro storage failed, but it will work in a nation 30,000 times the population? The demonstration on King Island using wind and solar, with multiple types of storage failed, but it will work in a country with 200,000 times the population?]
California Dreaming
PG&E pleads responsible to 84 felony counts of involuntary manslaughter in 2018 Camp Hearth
By J. Edward Moreno, The Hill, June 16, 2020
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/503048-pge-pleads-guilty-to-84-felony-counts-of-involuntary-manslaughter-in
ARTICLE XII PUBLIC UTILITIES [SECTION 1 – SEC. 9]
https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xhtml?lawCode=CONS&division=&title=&half=&chapter=&article=XII
[SEPP Comment: According Article XII, Section 3 of the state constitution, as a public utility PG&E is a public utility subject to control by the legislature. Will the legislature be held accountable?]
Within the Center of a Extreme Recession, California Prepares To Increase Its Gasoline Tax to 50 Cents a Gallon
The Golden State has the very best gasoline tax within the nation, and one among its worst-performing freeway methods.
By Christian Britschgi, Purpose, June 15, 2020
https://cause.com/2020/06/15/in-the-middle-of-a-severe-recession-california-prepares-to-raise-its-gas-tax-to-50-cents-a-gallon/
Local weather Examine: Black Expectant US Moms Particularly at Danger from Warmth Publicity
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 19, 2020
Affiliation of Air Air pollution and Warmth Publicity With Preterm Start, Low Start Weight, and Stillbirth within the US: A Systematic Evaluate
By Bruce Bekkar, et al, JAMA, June 18, 2020
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2767260
COVID-19 and Environmentalist Injustice
By Steve Milloy, Actual Clear Power, June 16, 2020
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/06/16/covid-19_and_environmentalist_injustice_496319.html
Oh Mann!
Tree Rings & Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 14, 2020
Tree Rings & Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick
Environmental Trade
Conservative local weather group runs pro-environment adverts on Fox Information
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 15, 2020
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/502736-conservative-climate-group-runs-pro-environment-ads-on-fox-news
[SEPP Comment: Complete with chimneys belching black steam darkening the skies!]
Different Information that Might Be of Curiosity
Asphalt Paves the Approach
By American Oil & Gasoline Historic Society, By way of Grasp Useful resource, June 18, 2020
GE: Contra-Capitalism’s Toll (lightbulb unit offered)
By Robert Bradley Jr, Grasp Useful resource, June 15, 2020
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Collapsology: The Rise Of A New Doomsday Cult & The Return Of The Darkish Ages
By Workers, The Sunday Telegraph, By way of GWPF, June 14, 2020
“Demand to discover ways to turn out to be a collapsologist can also be rising, based on Rémi Richart, an IT skilled who has been dwelling a self-sufficient, low-carbon life together with his spouse and three kids within the rural Cantal for 10 years. They’ve a pedal-driven washer and photo voltaic oven.”
We want a world treaty
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, June 17, 2020
[SEPP Comment: Time for action! Stop magnetic field change!]
Oceanfront Property In Arizona
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, June 12, 2020
https://realclimatescience.com/2020/06/oceanfront-property-in-arizona-2/
To Halt Local weather Change, We Want an Ecological Leninism
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, June 17, 2020
Hyperlink to article: “To Halt Local weather Change, We Want an Ecological Leninism
By Andreas Malm, Jacobin, June 15, 2020
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2020/06/andreas-malm-coronavirus-covid-climate-change
[SEPP Comment: Complete with firing squads, deliberate famine, and concentration camps?]
Vegans Fall Out Over Gretaburger
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, June 18, 2020
“The plant-based burger’s description on Uber Eats says it’s ‘filled with sizzling air, mild on information and excessive in carbon monoxide’.”
ARTICLES
What Covid Fashions Get Improper
Deal with the burden on hospitals, not on the oft-mistaken forecasts.
Editorial, WSJ, June 17, 2020
https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-covid-models-get-wrong-11592435169?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
TWTW Abstract: A lot of what’s mentioned on this editorial, significantly about fashions, applies to the local weather fashions as properly.
Right here we go once more. The College of Washington’s Institute for Well being Metrics and Analysis has issued a brand new forecast that Covid-19 fatalities would spike over the summer time in states which have moved sooner to reopen. Cue the media drumbeat for an additional lockdown. Perhaps somebody ought to first clarify why the fashions had been improper about a lot the final time.
Take New York, the place Gov. Andrew Cuomo locked down the state in mid-March based mostly on dire warnings. His public well being consultants projected the state would want as many as 140,000 hospital beds and 40,000 intensive care items—two to 3 occasions extra common hospital beds and 10 occasions extra ICU beds than had been accessible. The UW mannequin forecast that 49,000 common beds and eight,000 ICU beds could be wanted on the peak.
New York was hit exhausting, however Covid-19 hospital mattress utilization in New York peaked at 18,825 and 5,225 for ICUs in mid-April. Even in New York Metropolis, hospital utilization by no means exceeded 85% of capability and 89% for ICUs. Authorities-run hospitals in low-income neighborhoods with essentially the most circumstances had been unprepared, however they had been ill-managed earlier than the pandemic.
New York was the nation’s frontline within the coronavirus assault, and warning was wanted within the early days as a result of so little was recognized concerning the virus. The unique UW mannequin, which was based mostly on the experiences in Italy and Wuhan, assumed that strict lockdowns would curb infections, cut back hospitalizations and decrease deaths sooner than they really did within the Northeast.
Requested final month about when fatalities and hospitalizations would meet state thresholds for reopening, Mr. Cuomo responded: ‘All of the early nationwide consultants, ‘Right here’s my projection mannequin.’ . . . They had been all improper. They had been all improper. . . . There are a number of variables. I perceive that. We didn’t know what the social distancing would truly quantity to. I get it, however we had been all improper.’
Hospital utilization by Covid-19 sufferers in New York Metropolis has fallen 94% because the peak, which has allowed some non-essential therapies to renew. New York Metropolis has 29% of its hospital beds and 34% of its intensive care items now accessible. New circumstances have fallen by about 40% and new hospitalizations by a 3rd within the final two weeks, regardless of the latest protests.
Warnings about reopening states are additionally overblown thus far. Whereas Arizona has had an uptick in hospitalizations, about 59% of its emergency beds and 17% of ICU beds are unused. A month in the past, 43% of hospitalized sufferers with Covid had been within the ICU. Now solely a 3rd are, suggesting that higher and earlier remedy is easing illness severity.
In Texas, hospitalizations have additionally been climbing, however weekly fatalities are down 40% from a month in the past. Covid-19 sufferers occupy fewer than 5% of all hospital beds, and greater than 1 / 4 can be found. Even in Houston—which has skilled the most important enhance in hospitalizations—Covid-19 sufferers occupy solely 6% of hospital beds. Greater than 20% are unused.”
In response to an accompanying graph, Arizona had the best share of ICU beds occupied by Covid-19 sufferers, barely greater than 30% as of June 16.
“Covid-19 sufferers take up a small share of ICU beds in most states which have reopened together with California (16%), Texas (11%), Georgia (10%), Utah (9%), Wisconsin (Eight%) and Florida (7%). Almost all states have ample hospital and ICU capability.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom began easing his strict lockdown six weeks in the past, and eating places, hair salons, retail shops and gymnasiums at the moment are allowed open in most counties exterior of the Bay Space. Whereas new circumstances have been rising resulting from extra testing and in some circumstances from group unfold, hospitalizations and fatalities have been flat since early Might. In Los Angeles, ICU utilization has fallen by about 15% within the final month.
‘We have now to acknowledge you possibly can’t be in a everlasting state the place individuals are locked away—for months and months and months and months on finish—to see lives and livelihoods utterly destroyed, with out contemplating the well being affect of these choices as properly,’ Mr. Newsom mentioned Monday.
But nationwide Democrats and the press are nonetheless selling worst-case predictions, virtually as in the event that they’re hoping for worse to allow them to show Donald Trump improper. The College of Washington now tasks that reopening will trigger deaths to triple in California and enhance six-fold in Florida and Arizona via September.
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However as Stanford epidemiologist John Ioannidis explains in a brand new paper, most fashions have overshot partially by making defective assumptions about virus copy charges and homogenous susceptibility. A Massachusetts Basic Hospital mannequin predicted greater than 23,000 deaths inside a month of Georgia reopening however the state had solely 896.
‘Within the presence of robust groupthink and bandwagon results, modelers might consciously match their predictions to what’s the dominant considering and expectations—or they might be compelled to take action,’ Mr. Ioannidis writes. ‘Forecasts could also be extra prone to be revealed or disseminated, if they’re extra excessive.’
A surge of recent infections is inevitable as states reopen, and well being officers must look ahead to and comprise sizzling spots. However the Covid fashions aren’t future, and the price of new lockdowns is just too nice to maintain. We have now to dwell with the virus dangers whereas fortifying the well being system and defending essentially the most weak.
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